Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 2417.417871 2613.163546 2810.217670 3023.150309 3246.433760 3473.343302 3721.063556
2025-07-20 2120.217935 2416.313639 2724.352380 3067.538639 3438.012871 3824.758088 4257.865846
2025-07-27 1908.261389 2264.637421 2644.696247 3077.707876 3554.938844 4062.536328 4640.921362
2025-08-03 1736.134041 2134.665687 2568.882049 3073.039277 3638.289137 4248.706659 4953.941122
2025-08-10 1607.648686 2040.429538 2520.992550 3088.201378 3733.518570 4439.353980 5264.235468
2025-08-17 1480.195928 1937.149117 2453.837418 3073.162466 3787.369780 4577.701929 5510.927252
2025-08-24 1392.942893 1874.110771 2427.069307 3098.919544 3882.841472 4759.011856 5802.699358
2025-08-31 1290.981318 1786.976864 2366.447811 3080.137593 3922.589269 4873.397703 6015.640668
2025-09-07 1236.390772 1753.564216 2366.291017 3129.565766 4039.228499 5074.116308 6325.956094
2025-09-14 1167.541339 1698.430825 2336.567111 3140.760955 4108.503584 5218.279932 6569.905430
2025-09-21 1097.929269 1638.527038 2297.794715 3138.174031 4159.050393 5338.821827 6785.145682
2025-09-28 1002.867139 1541.280340 2208.779937 3070.644887 4128.644159 5361.726510 6884.255026
2025-10-05 988.585889 1549.398067 2252.278130 3167.468863 4298.566103 5624.034130 7268.111729
2025-10-12 952.277631 1526.558773 2255.337355 3213.297123 4406.287956 5812.788353 7566.215001
2025-10-19 903.429370 1484.354958 2231.567890 3223.781583 4469.428760 5947.411376 7799.719941
2025-10-26 851.655593 1435.581111 2197.162574 3218.968298 4512.239299 6056.566484 8002.236240
2025-11-02 811.636096 1401.114657 2179.862135 3234.600019 4579.398320 6194.490731 8238.894239
2025-11-09 762.132366 1350.879569 2139.704894 3219.095305 4606.257141 6282.472912 8414.867110
2025-11-16 731.558728 1326.282612 2132.690480 3245.649682 4685.378949 6433.936107 8667.491084
2025-11-23 686.205054 1277.975363 2091.787643 3226.286570 4705.094561 6511.600388 8830.032386
2025-11-30 668.291645 1269.386150 2104.549356 3277.241575 4814.161829 6699.428927 9126.973863
2025-12-07 637.941148 1240.658246 2088.350487 3288.781426 4872.074422 6823.570385 9346.051352
2025-12-14 604.606721 1205.801005 2062.335213 3286.114897 4910.882627 6923.451815 9535.154900